I interpret this question as:
What is the minimum number of pens that must be selected (blindly) such that Lucy is guaranteed to have 16 pens of the same colour in the selection?
It is possible (though perhaps unlikely) that she selects in the following order:
5 black pens
15 white pens
15 blue pens
16 red pens (or possibly 15 red pens followed by 1 blue pen for these last 16)
The total number she has to select in order to guarantee getting 16 of one colour is therefore 51.
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