reinout-g

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Usernamereinout-g
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 #25
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Melody:

*
Hard one :
Three kids named Brooks, Clint and Riley have a new game using water balloons.
They each take turns trying to throw one balloon at one of the other two. If they hit, the person is out, otherwise the next person may take his turn.

Brooks hits 1/3 of the time, Clint hits 2/3 of the time and Riley never misses.
Brooks is allowed to start, then Clint (given that he is still in the game), then Riley (given that he is still in the game), etc.
Where should brooks aim during his first turn?

Well if Brooks misses both targets then Clint will definitely try to hit Riley. Because if Clint hits Brooks, Riley will get him next anyway.
Therefore there is no point in Brooks going for Clint.
Now if Brook hits Riley then Brook has a 2/3 chance of being hit next
If Brook misses altogether then he has no chance of being hit next, If Clint hits Riley then it is Brooks turn next anyway (he'll get another shot at clint). If Brook misses Riley then there is probably a less than 2/3 chance that Riley will target Brook next.

So it seems to me that Brook's best strategy is to purposefully miss both targets.

IS that right ??
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Easier one: (still to be solved)
There are 31,542 people attending a concert. One person is picked from the audience and if his birthday is a monday he will win $1.000.000
What are the odds that that persons birthday is a monday?

Er let me see... There are seven days in the week. Everyone has to be born on one of them.
So the chance of anywone being born on a monday is 1/7
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Well done melody!

I like how you explained your reasoning.

I will see whether I can post some new ones a little later today
Mar 12, 2014