(105)5!=30240
This is the same as the probability you've eaten 2 chocolates in 6 candies, and eat the 3rd chocolate on the 7thP[eaten 2 chocolates in 6 candies]=(32)(54)(86)=1528P[7th candy eaten is chocolate |2 chocolates already eaten]=12P=152812=1556
(95)=(94)=126
P[tuberculosis|positive test]=P[positive test|tuberculosis]P[tuberculosis]P[positive test]=0.9⋅0.080.9⋅0.08+0.05⋅0.92≈0.939948
a1−r61−r=91=13⋅7=13a1−r21−r1−r61−r2=13r6−13r2+12=0r=±1, ±√3We only need consider r=√3a1−31−√3=7a=72(√3−1)a1−r41−r=28
p=0.001a) P[no one in 10000 has blood type]=(1−0.001)10000=(0.999)10000=0.0000451733 b) P[at least 1 w/type in n tested]=1−P[none w/type in n tested]=1−(1−0.001)n=1−(0.999)n≥1212≥(0.999)nln(1/2)≥nln(0.999)ln(0.5)ln(0.999)≤nn≥693
P[draw red from B]=P[draw red from B|drew red from A]P[drew red from A]+P[draw red from B|drew white from A]P[drew white from A]=5835+4825=2340
we're going to need the figure.
what direction does the river flow in?
P[emergency|alarm]=P[alarm|emergency]P[emergency]P[alarm]=0.95⋅0.0040.95⋅0.004+0.02⋅0.996=0.160202
The probability the stronger team wins is the series, is the sum of the probabilities that they win 3 games out of 3,4,5,6times the probability they get their fourth winp=(6∑n=3(n3)(0.6)3(0.4)n−3)(0.6)=1109715625≈0.71