OK just last week I started reading how to do this kind of thing. This means I not know a lot about it. But I do know for this you need a Least Squares formula. I not sure which one is the best to use. Probably the basic one is ok. One of the mods can help you with that.
You should type in the data points then it is easy to put it in a Excel spread sheet or some other program to test the different formulas.
I can tell you why the outliers are there. Itis because some people spend 10 years studying advanced basket weaving or advanced p*g greasing, and there is not a great demand for those skills. You can use that as an opinion. I might major in corn shucking, if I do then I will minor in corn cobbing. hahaha