+556 Bag A has 3 white marbles and 4 black marbles. Bag B has 6 yellow marbles and 4 blue marbles. Bag C has 2 yellow marbles and 5 blue marbles. A marble is drawn at random from Bag A. If it is white, a marble is drawn at random from Bag B, otherwise, if it is black, a marble is drawn at random from Bag C. What is the probability that the second marble drawn is yellow?
+355 We can get the second marble to be yellow in two ways: either a white from A (with probability 3/7) then a yellow from B (with probability 6/10), or a black from A (with probability 4/7) then a yellow from C (with probability 2/7). Thus, the probability is:
(3/7)(6/10) + (4/7)(2/7) = 103/245!
