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A director of reservations believes that 2% of the ticketed passengers are no-shows. If the director is correct, what is the probability that the proportion of no-shows in a sample of 507 ticketed passengers would be greater than 3%? Round your answer to four decimal places

 Oct 12, 2016
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A director of reservations believes that 2% of the ticketed passengers are no-shows. If the director is correct, what is the probability that the proportion of no-shows in a sample of 507 ticketed passengers would be greater than 3%? Round your answer to four decimal places

 

 

3% of 507=15.21

So the question is ...  what is the probability that 15.21 people or more will be no shows.

p=0.02     q=0.98

The mean number of no shows would be 0.02*507 = 10.14

The standard deviation fo no shows is  

\(\sigma=\sqrt{n*p*q}\\ \sigma=\sqrt{507*0.02*0.98}\\ \sigma=3.15233247\)

 

I used this site but you should be able to do more of it yourself is you need to.  Just work out the z score for a raw score of 15.21 and it is the same as any other normal curve.

 

 

 

So the probability is 0.0539

which is   5.39%

 Oct 13, 2016

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