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Ryan has 3 red lava lamps and 3 blue lava lamps. He arranges them in a row on a shelf randomly, then turns 3 random lamps on. What is the probability that the leftmost lamp on the shelf is red, and the leftmost lamp which is turned on is also red?

 

Thanks a lot in advance!

 
 Sep 13, 2024
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Analyzing the Problem

 

Breaking Down the Events:

 

Event 1: The leftmost lamp on the shelf is red.

 

Event 2: The leftmost lamp turned on is red.

 

Calculating Probabilities:

 

We'll use the concept of conditional probability to calculate the probability of both events happening.

 

Calculating the Probabilities

 

Probability of Event 1:

 

There are 3 red lamps out of a total of 6 lamps.

 

So, the probability of the leftmost lamp being red is 3/6 = 1/2.

 

Probability of Event 2 given Event 1:

 

If the leftmost lamp is red, there are now 2 red lamps and 3 blue lamps remaining.

 

The probability of the leftmost lamp turned on being red is 2/5.

 

Conditional Probability:

 

The probability of both events happening is the product of the probability of Event 1 and the conditional probability of Event 2 given Event 1.

 

Final Calculation:

 

Probability = (1/2) * (2/5) = 2/10 = 1/5

 

Therefore, the probability that the leftmost lamp on the shelf is red and the leftmost lamp turned on is also red is 1/5.

 Sep 13, 2024

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