1) a bag has 4 red ball's, 5 white ball's and 6 blue ball's. 3 ball's are drawn at random from the bag without putting it back. what is the probability that they are of the same color?
2) 2 cards are chosen at random from a standard deck of 52-card. what is the probability that the 14 card is a heart and the second card is a 10?
Sir Cphill seems to be exercising his mount.
Here’s the solution for #1
\(\text {There are }\binom{3}{20} \text { = 1140 ways to choose to choose any 3 ball's }\\ \text {There are }\binom{3}{4} \text { = 4 ways to choose to choose 3 red ball's } \\ \text {There are }\binom{3}{5} \text { = 10 ways to choose to choose 3 white ball's } \\ \text {There are }\binom{3}{6} \text { = 20 ways to choose to choose 3 blue ball's } \tiny \text {(This sounds painful)}\\ \)
\(\text {For 3 red ball's the probability is } \hspace{.45cm} \dfrac {4}{1120} \\ \text {For 3 white ball's the probability is }\dfrac {10}{1120} \\ \text {For 3 blue ball's the probability is } \hspace{.25cm} \dfrac {20}{1120} \\ \)
\(\text {The overall probability of 3 of the same color is }\\ \frac {1}{3} \text { the harmonic average of these three probabilities. }\\ \text{ }\\ \hspace{1cm} \dfrac {1}{\dfrac {1120}{4} + \dfrac {1120}{10}+ \dfrac {1120}{30}} = \dfrac {1}{448} \)
Thanks Ginger..... I think you made a couple of little mistakes :)
1)
a bag has 4 red ball's, 5 white ball's and 6 blue ball's. 3 ball's are drawn at random from the bag without putting it back. what is the probability that they are of the same color?
There are 4+5+6=15 b***s altogether.
What is the probability of drawing 3 red b***s
\(\text{The prob of 3 reds is }\frac{4}{15}\times \frac{3}{14} \times \frac{2}{13}=\frac{24}{2730}\\ \text{The prob of 3 whites is }\frac{5}{15}\times \frac{4}{14} \times \frac{3}{13}=\frac{60}{2730}\\ \text{The prob of 3 blues is }\frac{6}{15}\times \frac{5}{14} \times \frac{4}{13}=\frac{120}{2730}\\ \text{add all these together and you get}\\ \text{P(three the same colour )=}\frac{34}{455}\\\)
Another method:
\(\frac{\binom{4 }{3}\times \binom{5}{3}\times \binom{6}{3}}{\binom{15}{3}}=\frac{4+10+20}{455}=\frac{34}{455}\)
2)
2 cards are chosen at random from a standard deck of 52-card. what is the probability that the 1st card is a heart and the second card is a 10?
Mmm
10 of hearts followed by another 10
\(\frac{1}{52} \times \frac{3}{51} = \frac{3}{52*51}=\frac{3}{2652}\)
or
a heart that is not a 10 followed by a 10
\(\frac{12}{52}\times \frac{4}{51}=\frac{48}{2652}\\ ~\\ \text{P(heart then 10)}=\frac{3+48}{2652}=\frac{51}{2652}=\frac{1}{52}\)
Wow! I didn’t just tangle this. I royally scrambled it. (I inverted the binomials, too)
I’m glad you are here to unscramble the sacred ball’s of Excalibur.![]()
In your “other method” you multiplied the binomials but added the results. I assume for this method that you add binomials, because you are counting, and for the first method, you multiply the probabilities. Is that a correct assumption?
This is a broad question, but when do you use the harmonic mean to find “overall” probability?
Thank you, Miss Melody.