An ant moves on the following lattice, beginning at the dot labeled A. Each minute he moves to one of the dots neighboring the dot he was at, choosing from among its neighbors at random. What is the probability that after 5 minutes he is at the dot labeled B ?
An ant moves on the following lattice, beginning at the dot labeled A.
Each minute he moves to one of the dots neighboring the dot he was at, choosing from among its neighbors at random.
What is the probability that after 5 minutes he is at the dot labeled B ?
see: https://web2.0calc.com/questions/probability-help_9#r2
An alternative to heureka's method is to notice that after 5 moves the ant can only end up at one of the four dots directly connected to A. There are four of them, and nothing to prefer one over the other, hence the probability of ending up at B is 1/4 or 25%.
That is a really helpful observation Alan. It makes the problem trivial. I'm impressed :)
Alan’s observation not only demonstrates a logical solution for this question, but also demonstrates how to think outside the box or the grid. When a process works, it’s very human to stay in our “space” and not consider ideas outside that space. Education, training, and experience all contribute to our thinking processes, and create predetermine modes of operational thought.
When we use our minds, instead of our machines, we see parts of our world become as new.