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The probability of a fine day is 3/7 and the probability of a wet day is 4/7.

 

If it is a fine day:

The probability that a man cycles to work is 7/10.

The probability that a man drives to work is 2/10.

The probability that a man takes the train to work is 1/10.

 

If it is a wet day:

The probability that a man cycles to work is 1/9.

The probability that a man drives to work is 5/9.

The probability that a man takes the train to work is 3/9.

 

If he works 315 days a year, how many days is he likely to drive to work?

 Feb 11, 2017
 #1
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Let P(E) denote the probability of event E happening.

 

P(He drives to work)

 \(=\dfrac{3}{7}\times \dfrac{2}{10}+\dfrac{4}{7}\times \dfrac{5}{9}\\ =\dfrac{127}{315}\)

 

therefore number of days he is likely to drive to work = 315 x 127/315 = 127 days. :D

 

~The smartest cookie in the world.

 Feb 11, 2017

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