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A manufacturer produces soda cans and a quality control worker randomly selects two cans from the assembly line for testing. Past statistics show that 12% of the cans are defective. What is the probability that the two selected cans are defective if the quality control worker selects the two cans from a batch of 50 cans?

 

A) 3/245

 

B) 3/250

 

C) 9/625

 

D) 6/35

 

Also how did you get the answer?

 Jun 9, 2016
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It depends.  If the selection is made WITHOUT REPLACEMENT, then the probability of the first can is 12% = 12 out of 100 = 6 out of 50 = 3/25.  The probability of the 2nd can is then 5 out of 49 (assuming the first can is bad).  We multiply the two separate probabilities to get the probability of the two events together: (3/25) * (5/49) = (3/245) = Answer "A".

 

But nothing says that the control worker couldn't make the selection WITH REPLACEMENT.  If so, then the probability of the first can is 12/100, and the probabilty of the 2nd can is also 12/100.  The two events together is (12/100) * (12/100) = (9/625) = Answer "C".

 Jun 10, 2016

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