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if you got 8 decks of cards, you take 5 cards. waht is the possibility of atleast one ace of spades?
 Feb 18, 2014
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if you got 8 decks of cards, you take 5 cards. waht is the possibility of atleast one ace of spades?



I assume you pick 5 cards w/o replacing them

at first pick odds of not picking an ace of spades is

51/52

2nd pick the chances are (8*51 - 1) / (8*52 - 1), i.e. # of non ace of spade cards left / # cards left

3rd pick the chances are (8*51 - 2)/ (8*52 - 2)

etc. up to 5

you get

{51/52, 407/415, 203/207, 405/413, 101/103}

multiply all these together to get your final probability for picking 5 non ace of spade cards

p = 547175277 / 603251636 ~ 0.91

now the probability of picking at least 1 ace of spades is (1 - p) ~ 0.09
 Feb 19, 2014

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