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Probability

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The Cubs are playing the Red Sox in the World Series. To win the world series, a team must win 4 games before the other team does. If the Cubs win each game with probability 1/4 and there are no ties, what is the probability that the Cubs will win the World Series? Express your answer as a percent rounded to the nearest whole percent.

May 17, 2022

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The Cubs are playing the Red Sox in the World Series. To win the world series, a team must win 4 games before the other team does. If the Cubs win each game with probability 1/4 and there are no ties, what is the probability that the Cubs will win the World Series? Express your answer as a percent rounded to the nearest whole percent.

Read the set up:  "If the Cubs win each game with probability 1/4..."

If the Cubs win each game, it doesn't matter what the probability had

been that they would have won each game.  A win is a win and that's

all that matters.  The Cubs sweep the Series in four games.  100%.

May 17, 2022