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5.    A production process is known to produce a particular item in such a way that 5 percent of these are defective. If three items are randomly selected as they come off the production line, 

 

(a).    What is the probability that all three items will be defective?

 

 

 

(b).    What is the probability that none of the items will be defective?

 

Thank you guys ! or who ever will answer to me ! :) 

 
 Nov 28, 2015

Best Answer 

 #3
avatar+1316 
+10

No anon!. Geno answer the other questions correctly but this question is different than them. You have to use Binomial distribution cumulative probability to answer this one.

It look like this

 

\(\Pr(X \le k) = \sum_{i=0}^k {n\choose i}p^i(1-p)^{n-i} \)

The sideways M like thing is a sumation and it mean you have to add all of these.

 

When you do these separately then it look like this

\({3\choose 0}0.05^0(1-.05)^{3} = 0.857375 \\ {3\choose 1}0.05^1(1-.05)^{2}=0.135375 \\ {3\choose 2}0.05^2(1-.05)^{1}=0.007125 \\ {3\choose 3}0.05^3(1-.05)^{0}=0.000125 \\\)

This is for

none defective

only 1  defective

only 2  defective

only 3  defective

 

Then you add up the probabilities depending on the question.

For the question of at least one defective you add the probabilities of 1 and 2 and 3. Because it is at least 1 but could be 2 or 3. 

Add up  

0.135375 + 0.007125 + 0.000125 = 0.142625

So 0.142625 is the correct probability not 0.0975

 

Notice if you use this formula for the first two questions it give the same answer as Geno’s. When it is all or nothing you can do it the way Geno did it. It is easier to do. 

 

I am sure this is right but a mod should check it. 

 Nov 28, 2015
 #1
avatar+23252 
+10

Since the probability for each one is defective is 0.05,

the probability for all three to be defective:  0.05 x 0.05 x 0.05  =  0.000 125

Since the probability that each one is not defective is 0.95, 

the probability for all three to not be defective:  0.95 x 0.95 x 0.95 = 0.857 375

 Nov 28, 2015
 #2
avatar
0

I get it ! 

 

Thank you, 

 

So the probability that at least one item will be defective would be : 

 

1  - 0.95 x 0.95 = 0.0975 ? 

 

 

Right ? 

 

Thank you ! 

 

 
 Nov 28, 2015
 #3
avatar+1316 
+10
Best Answer

No anon!. Geno answer the other questions correctly but this question is different than them. You have to use Binomial distribution cumulative probability to answer this one.

It look like this

 

\(\Pr(X \le k) = \sum_{i=0}^k {n\choose i}p^i(1-p)^{n-i} \)

The sideways M like thing is a sumation and it mean you have to add all of these.

 

When you do these separately then it look like this

\({3\choose 0}0.05^0(1-.05)^{3} = 0.857375 \\ {3\choose 1}0.05^1(1-.05)^{2}=0.135375 \\ {3\choose 2}0.05^2(1-.05)^{1}=0.007125 \\ {3\choose 3}0.05^3(1-.05)^{0}=0.000125 \\\)

This is for

none defective

only 1  defective

only 2  defective

only 3  defective

 

Then you add up the probabilities depending on the question.

For the question of at least one defective you add the probabilities of 1 and 2 and 3. Because it is at least 1 but could be 2 or 3. 

Add up  

0.135375 + 0.007125 + 0.000125 = 0.142625

So 0.142625 is the correct probability not 0.0975

 

Notice if you use this formula for the first two questions it give the same answer as Geno’s. When it is all or nothing you can do it the way Geno did it. It is easier to do. 

 

I am sure this is right but a mod should check it. 

Dragonlance Nov 28, 2015
 #4
avatar+129852 
+5

Probability that at least one item is defective =  1 - Probabilty that no items are defective

 

This =

 

1 - .857375   =  .142625    = about 14.26%  ......just as Dragonlance found.....!!!

 

 

 

cool cool cool

 Nov 28, 2015

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