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There are 10 red cards, 20 blue cars and 15 yellow cards. What is the probability of picking a red card after picking a yellow card or blue card?

 Sep 3, 2016
 #1
avatar+9665 
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P(picking a red card after picking a yellow card or blue card)

= 7/9 x 5/22

\(\dfrac{35}{198}\)

Ooh this is not quite possible actually...... I thought this probability would be large! :D

 Sep 3, 2016
 #2
avatar+129840 
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I get a little different result from Max, but since I'm not great at probability, maybe mine is more of an "educated" guess.....

 

If  we have picked a blue or yellow card on the first draw, then the chances of selecting a blue or yellow card on the second draw = 34/44

 

Then....the chances of NOT selecting a blue or yellow card on the second draw = the probability of selecting a red card on the second draw =  1 - 34/44 =  10/44  = 5/22

 

Can someone else check this ?????

 

 

cool cool cool

 Sep 3, 2016
 #3
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I'm just getting confused on what will I use a formula on that probability. 

 Sep 3, 2016
 #4
avatar+33653 
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The only way of not picking a red card after picking a blue or yellow card is to pick all the red cards first. The probability of doing this is q = 10!*35!/45!  i.e. (10/45)*(9/44)*...*(1/36)

 

Hence, the probability of picking a red card after picking a blue or yellow card is p = 1 - q

 

I've assumed the question intends all the cards to be picked; that it doesn't just refer to the 1st and 2nd cards picked.

 Sep 3, 2016

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