Melody

avatar
UsernameMelody
Score118723
Membership
Stats
Questions 900
Answers 33647

-4
846
3
avatar+118723 
Melody  Feb 11, 2022
 #1
avatar+118723 
+5

Well, I am no stats expert but... this is a binomial distribution.

Each time the die is rolled there is a 1/6 = 0.16 repeater chance of rolling a 5.

You are asking if 23 fives is a probable outcome.

 

I am going to jump over to a binomial calculator 

http://stattrek.com/online-calculator/binomial.aspx

I put in the info and it spits out some cumulative probabilities.  (Maybe you use tables for this?)

Anway it tells me that     $$p(x\ge 23)=0.0605$$

This means that if you throw a fair die 100 times and count the number of 5s

and you do this a great many times, then you will get 23 or more fives  approx 6% of the time.

SO, at a five percent significance level this is not significant.

Jul 9, 2015
 #1
avatar+118723 
+20

Four positive integers a, b, c, d satisfy

 

 

ab+a+b = 524 

bc+b+c = 146 

cd+c+d = 104 

abcd = 8! = $$2^7*3^2*7*5$$

 

What is   a-d ?


----------------------------------------

 

Can    a,b,c or d   be odd?

Assume a is odd

Let a=2N+1

(2N+1)b+(2N+1)+b=524

2Nb+b+2N+1+b=524

2Nb+2b+2N=523

2(2Nb+b+N)=523

Since N and b are integers there is a contradiction here.

Therefore a is even

By the same logic b,c and d are all even and therefore all are divisible by 2.

 

Let 2A=a,   2B=b,     2C=c,    2D=d

 

The equations become

 

2AB+A+B=262      It can be seen that A+B is even     therefore A and B are both odd or both even

2BC+B+C=73        It can be seen that B+C is odd      therefore with B & D one is odd and one is even

2CD+C+D=52        It can be seen that C+D is even    therefore C and D are both odd or both even

 

This means that the powers of 2 must be shared into two bundles.

They belong either to A and B          or              to    C and D

 $$A*B*C*D=2^3*3^2*7*5$$

 

-----------------------

 

Can A,B,C, OR D  be 1 ?

Assume A=1

2B+1+B=262

3B=261

B=87 = 3*29  no that is impossible so   $$B\ne1$$    and using the same logic   $$A\ne1$$

 

Assume C=1

2D+1+D=52

3D=51

D=17     again that is impossible so  $$c\ne1$$   and using the same logic   $$D\ne1$$

 

--------------------------

 

 

 

 

2AB+A+B=262       It can be seen that A+B is even     therefore A and B are both odd or both even

2BC+B+C=73         It can be seen that B+C is odd      therefore with B & D one is odd and one is even

2CD+C+D=52         It can be seen that C+D is even    therefore C and D are both odd or both even

$$A*B*C*D=2^3*3^2*7*5$$ 

 

 

Can A,B,C, OR D  be 2 ?

Assume A=2

4B+2+B=262

5B=260

B=52=2^2*13      no that is impossible so   $$A\ne 2$$   and using the same logic   $$B\ne2$$

 

Assume C=2

4D+2+D=52

5D=50

D=10      That is possible – so maybe C=2 and D=10   OR    D=2 and C=10

 

If D=2 then C=10

20B+B+10=73

21B=63

B=3

If B=3  then

6A+A+3=262

7A=259

A=37     That is impossible      so            $$D\ne2\qquad B\ne3 \qquad C\ne10$$    

 

If C=2  then D=10

4B+B+2=73

5B=71     That is impossible       so           $$D\ne10 \qquad C\ne 2$$       

 

So none of A,B,C,D are 1 or 2

 

 

  $$A*B*C*D=2^3*3^2*7*5$$              (A and B are paired) (C and D are paired)

So one of the even numbers is 2 * some other factor

And the one belonging to the matching pair must be 4 or 4 times some other factor

 

-----------------------------------------------------------------

 

2AB+A+B=262       It can be seen that A+B is even     therefore A and B are both odd or both even

2BC+B+C=73         It can be seen that B+C is odd      therefore B, D  one is odd and one is even

2CD+C+D=52         It can be seen that C+D is even    therefore C and D are both odd or both even

$$A*B*C*D=2^3*3^2*7*5$$ 

 

One pair has to have factors just from 3,3,5 and 7 and not all of these can be used because at least of of them belongs with a 2

( This is a total of 12-2=10 factors )

 

Possible odd numbers         3, 5, 7, 9, 15, 21, 35, 45, 63, 105                 1 and 3*3*5 are not included

 

Visual scan of these  (Note that A,B,C, and D are all 3 or bigger)

[Example of scanning method 45*6=270    and 270>262 so 45 is definitely too big]

105, 63 and 45 are all too big to be any of them.

35, 21, 15, can be A but not B or C or D

9 could be B or A

3 or 5 or 7 could be any of them.

Remember:  (A and B are paired) (C and D are paired)

 

 

2AB+A+B=262       It can be seen that A+B is even     therefore A and B are both odd or both even

2BC+B+C=73         It can be seen that B+C is odd      therefore B, D  one is odd and one is even

2CD+C+D=52         It can be seen that C+D is even    therefore C and D are both odd or both even

 

 

So

If C and D are the odd ones then they must be two of  3, 5 or 7

 

Let’s see if 3 and 5 of those work.

2CD+C+D=52        

2*3*5+3+5=38   Nope that doesn’t work so

 

Lets see if 3 and 7 work

2*3*7+3+7=52        BINGO

SO  

C and D could be 3 and 7

 

 

Could it work if C and D are the even ones?

Let C=2X     and D=2Y

2CD+C+D=52        

8XY+2X+2Y=52

4XY+X+Y=26

Possibilities for X and Y are  products of  2,3,3,7,5

If they were 2 and 3 we’d have   4*2*3+2+3=29

No it doesn’t work - there aren’t any smaller ones so    C and D must be 3 and 7

 

 

 

2AB+A+B=262       It can be seen that A+B is even     therefore A and B are both odd or both even

2BC+B+C=73         It can be seen that B+C is odd      therefore B, D  one is odd and one is even

2CD+C+D=52         It can be seen that C+D is even    therefore C and D are both odd or both even

 

If C=3 then

2*B*3+B+3=73

7B=70

B=10      that looks promising

 

If C=7 then

2*B*7+B+7=73

15B=66         Well, that is not right.

 

So    C=3, D=7, and B=10

 

2*A*10+A+10=262

21A = 252

A=12

 

 

So             A=12,     B=10,    C=3,   and   D=7

 

So            a=24,     b=20,    c=6      and     d=14

 

So             a-d =  24-14 = 10

Jul 8, 2015