Let's say there is 100 to start with (as in 100%)
10 = 100 (1-.4)n where n is the number of years after 2004 to reach 10%
10/100 = (1-.4)n
.1 = .6n
log .1 = n log .6
n = 4.51 years to reach 10%
this will be in VERY late 2008 but I bet they say it is 2009 because it askes what year the census will show <10%......there will be no new census until 2009 ....... kinda tricky, huh?