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Feb 2, 2018
 #1
avatar+118691 
+5

Six 6-sided dice are rolled. What is the probability that exactly two of the dice show a 1 and exactly two of the dice show a 2? Express your answer as a common fraction.

 

P(2 twos and 2 ones and the other two different ) +  P(2 sixes and 2 ones and 2 of some other number)

 

\( =\frac{6!}{2!2!}*(\frac{1}{6}*\frac{1}{6}*\frac{1}{6}*\frac{1}{6}*\frac{4}{6}*\frac{3}{6}) + \frac{6!}{2!2!2!}*(\frac{1}{6}*\frac{1}{6}*\frac{1}{6}*\frac{1}{6}*\frac{4}{6}*\frac{1}{6})\\ =180*\frac{12}{6^6} + 90*\frac{4}{6^6}\\ =\frac{2160}{6^6} + \frac{360}{6^6}\\ =\frac{2520}{46656}\\ =\frac{35}{648} \\\approx 0.054\)

 

I do not think this is correct, I think 2160 should be half the size at 1080.

BUT I do not know what I did wrong. Probablility is like that ... it's sneaky!!

 

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Here is another way to look at it 

You have six squares an each square represents a number rolled.

There will be 6^6 = 46656  possible outcomes but I have to work out how many of those are favourable.

First there are 6C2 = 15 places where the 1s can go.

Now there are four spots left so

There are  4C2= 6 places where the 2s can go.

So far that is   15*6=90

Now there are 2 spots left.

 

If the the last two numbers are different then you can chose from 3,4,5, or 6

So there will be 4 choices for the next place and 3 fro the last place so that is    90*4*3 = 1080

 

If the the last two numbers are the same then you can chose from 3,4,5, or 6

So there will be 4 choices for the next place and 1 for the last place so that is    90*4*1 =360

 

So that is 1080+360 = 1440

 

So the probablility is \(\frac{1440}{6^6}=\frac{1440}{46656}=\frac{5}{162}\)

 

 

This is why I think that the second answer is correct. I counted the possibilities.

 

Feb 2, 2018
 #6
avatar+2539 
+5

This link has both the original Latin and English translation for Part 2 of Ars Conjectandi:  The Doctrine of Permutations and Combinations: Being an Essential and Fundamental Doctrine of Changes.  (1795). (Navigate to page 217 for the English translation of the page Heureka references.) Despite the archaic spelling, syntax, and mathematical notation, this text is very readable. This book includes several related essays and theories from notable mathematicians, contemporary to, and proceeding, Jakob Bernoulli.

 

Complete English translations of Ars Conjectandi are rare.  This is required reading for Lancelot Link’s school of Mathematics, Physics, Chemistry, and Trolling. I had to brush-up on my Latin.smiley

For anyone interested, here’s Part 4 of  Ars Conjectandi (English) Link

 

JB, will you sign my printed copies?laugh

 

 

 

GA

Feb 2, 2018
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avatar+113 
+1
Feb 2, 2018
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+2
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Feb 1, 2018
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+1
Feb 1, 2018

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