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 #11
avatar+2489 
+1

You submitted your solution to AoPS and the reviewer said your solution (1/4) is correct.  Well, assuming you are not telling us a big fib (that means lying), the reviewer is wrong.  I’m sure the official answer/solution goes well into the hierarchy, where a Ph.D. approved it, without a proper review. The wrong answers that often appear in the back of math books also receive approval. Once a solution is believed correct, the analysis ends, and that’s the end of it.  

 

This question has some powerful juju, Jojo. (Juju means magical karma.)  Despite the impeccable credentials of AoPS Professors, teachers, and reviewers, (1/4) is the WRONG answer.  The answer is wrong is because the solution method is wrong for this question. It should be obvious that Grogg does not arbitrarily choose whether to color a number blue; if he did then that would be the correct solution.

 

Grogg randomly chooses a set of numbers from zero to six, then he randomly colors numbers blue to match the count of the set. If Grogg chooses three numbers then he randomly colors three of the six numbers blue.  If he chooses zero numbers the he colors none, if he chooses 6 then he colors all six.  Sets of zero, one, two, three, etc, all have an equal (1/7) probability of selection. Any of the six numbers also have an equal probability of selection in each set. 

 

However, if Grogg considers each of the six numbers individually, and randomly chooses to color it or not, then the “set counts” become a binomial distribution: 1,6,15,20,15,6,1.

The sum of this binomial distribution is 64 and the probabilities of Grogg selecting each set are 1.5625%, 9.375%, 23.4375%, 31.25%, 23.4375%, 9.375%, and 1.5625%.

 

As you can see this distribution is very different from the uniform probability of 14.285% for each set, where Grogg chooses each set independently. 

 

In any case, good for you, for getting the correct answer. One lesson I never learned very well in the lower grades is, “the ‘correct’ answer is the one the teacher says it is.” This is good advice because the teacher usually is correct. Personally, though, if there is a conflict, I’d rather have a lower grade and the correct solution. I definitely got the lower grade, but I was less sure about the correct solution. 

 

In this case, I’m very sure of the correct solution. 

 

And it is not nice to go around media like this with an attitude like that.

Really? What kind of media would make it nice?

 

GA

Apr 13, 2018
 #1
avatar+1245 
+3
Apr 13, 2018
Apr 12, 2018
 #2
avatar+1356 
+10
Apr 12, 2018

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